Each day, one of our experts will offer up a best bet (or two or three) that mobile sportsbooks are offering. It might be a traditional spread bet, a player prop or one of the various odds boosts that books offer.
Here are our best bets for Thursday, May 18:
The play: NBA Western Conference Finals Game 2, Nuggets -5 over Lakers
The odds/bet: -110 ($33 to win $30)
The book: Caesars Sportsbook
Time/TV: 8:30 p.m. (ESPN)
Our take: Sticking with our original thought that the Nuggets are the best team in basketball at the moment, we think the first 43 minutes of Game 1 were no fluke.
The Lakers made a strong push in the final moments, which has Joe Q. Public thinking they have figured things out and will be able to win Game 2. However, the fact they had no answer for Nikola Jokic in the first half and still couldn’t find a strong enough run to realistically get back into it until late says they have major problems in this series.
While this series likely will be much more competitive in L.A., Denver simply is playing too consistently solid to do anything but bet on them here.
The play: Lakers to win first half outright
The odds/bet: +155 ($10 to win $15.50)
The book: DraftKings
Our take: OK, we understand this may sound counterintuitive, but there’s a good chance Los Angeles thinks they have figured things out enough to play exactly the opposite as they played in Game 1. Expect a major focus on Jokic early, which should keep this game very close early on.
While we think Denver’s depth, consistency and coaching will lead them to a big victory, it may take longer than we saw in Game 1.
LeBRON PLAYER PROP
The play: LeBron James over 6.5 assists
The odds/bet: -120 ($12 to win $10)
The book: BetMGM
Our take: One thing we know is LeBron will be pulling out all the stops to win Game 2. While we don’t think he will be successful, we do think he will find every open player possible, and we do mean everyone.
Expect a ton of pass-offs from the King, and it wouldn’t surprise us at all if he has this one won by halftime.
HOW WE’VE FARED
NBA playoffs: Heat +8.5 over Celtics (WON $30)
PGA Championship: Xander Schauffele to finish in the top 20 (PENDING)
Wednesday’s profit/loss: +$30 (1-0, 1 pending)
Total for the week: +$59 (3-1, 1 pending)
Total for May: +$174.10 (18-14, 1 pending)
Total for 2023: -$285.10 (106-119, 1 pending)
NOTE: If a line or odds are minus, it considers the juice one must lay to place the bet. Ex: Team A is -160 on the money line, one would have to bet $160 to win $100 (or $16 to win $10). OR Team B is a 5-point favorite at -110, one would have to bet $110 to win $100 (or $11 to win $10.)
Conversely, on positive lines, if Team C is +140 on the money line, $100 would bring in $140 (or $10 to win $14).
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